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Waiting for the S&P 500 to revert to the mean is like Waiting for Godot

Even returns over 20-year spans bear little resemblance to each other

Author Benjamin Valore-Caplan, Guest Columnist January 26, 2010 at 6:24 AM
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Ben Valore-Caplan: The human desire for order and predictability may mask the reality of disorder and unpredictability in the financial markets

Stephen Winks

Stephen Winks

January 26, 2010 — 12:55 PM

Makes you appreciate the long term view of Warren Buffet and Ben Graham, their amazing performance and timeless insight. Mathmatical precision in highly structured transactions for short term gain somehow never seem to generate sustainable performance. Simplicity works. Experience is learning what’s old and proven may not be as sexy or intellectually stimulating as academic exercises but at least it works.


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